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European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)BolognaTED

C3S2_452 Development of a statistical framework for event attribution

Entwicklung eines statistischen Frameworks (z. B. Bayes-basiert) zur Attribuierung von Extremwetterereignissen für den Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Ziel ist die Integration von Klimamodell-Outputs, Beobachtungsdaten, physikalischen Treibern und Multi-Modell-Ensembles zur Erstellung posteriorer Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilungen. ...

Submission deadline: June 23, 2026 (expired)Type: Tender

Environmental Research

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Content at a glance

Tender type:
Tender
Contracting authority:
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
Published:
May 05, 2026
Deadline:
June 23, 2026
Topic:
Environmental Research

Tender description

Entwicklung eines statistischen Frameworks (z. B. Bayes-basiert) zur Attribuierung von Extremwetterereignissen für den Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Ziel ist die Integration von Klimamodell-Outputs, Beobachtungsdaten, physikalischen Treibern und Multi-Modell-Ensembles zur Erstellung posteriorer Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilungen. Die Leistung umfasst die Bereitstellung einer Methodik inklusive Software/Tools zur Analyse von Ereigniswahrscheinlichkeit, Intensität und Unsicherheit.

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The submission deadline is 23. Juni 2026.
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The contracting authority is European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).
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