European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)BolognaTED
C3S2 610 Development of an event-linked counterfactual diagnostic evidence layer based on ECMWF forecast and reanalysis information in support of the C3S Operational Attribution Office
This ITT aims to develop a methodological framework and supporting procedures for generating event-conditioned diagnostic evidence for high-impact extreme events by assessing how key characteristics of observed present-day events would differ under counterfactual climate conditions without anthropogenic warming. Tenderers must propose a s...
Submission deadline: October 01, 2026Type: Tender
Research Contracts, Environmental Research, Technology Development, Feasibility Studies
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- Tender type:
- Tender
- Contracting authority:
- European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
- Published:
- July 26, 2026
- Deadline:
- October 01, 2026
- Topic:
- Research Contracts
Tender description
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This ITT aims to develop a methodological framework and supporting procedures for generating event-conditioned diagnostic evidence for high-impact extreme events by assessing how key characteristics of observed present-day events would differ under counterfactual climate conditions without anthropogenic warming. Tenderers must propose a scientifically robust and operationally feasible approach, including an assessment of data availability, computational requirements, reproducibility, interpretability and delivery timelines, while confirming that no new large-scale climate or weather model simulations will be undertaken. The successful tenderer will, in consultation with C3S, establish quality requirements and an evaluation methodology to assess the physical consistency, robustness, reproducibility, transparency and limitations of the derived evidence, and will provide a comprehensive handover package to support future operational or pre-operational implementation.
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- The submission deadline is 01. Oktober 2026.
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